The Modelling and Forecasting Facility contributes to the SOCIB's objectives following international well established initiatives where SOCIB scientists have been and are presently involved. These types of initiatives were mostly peer reviewed research projects of usually 3 to 4 years duration. Among other, some of the projects more directly related to SOCIB objectives are: ESEOO in Spain, ECOOP and SESAME from EC FP6 and MyOcean from GMES FP7.
The SOCIB activities are mostly centered in the Western Mediterranean Sea, with focus on the Balearic Islands and adjacent sub-basins (in particular Algerian and Alboran/Gibraltar) and covering from the nearshore to the open ocean on a long term.
Our aim is to advance on the understanding of physical and multidisciplinary processes and their non linear interactions, to detect and quantify changes in coastal systems, to understand the mechanism that regulate them and to forecast their evolution and/or adaptation under, for example, different IPCC scenarios. To achieve this goal, the Modeling & Forecasting facility provides operational forecasting, hindcasting and monitoring systems of the Western Mediterranean Sea, and specifically of the coastal seas around the Balearic Islands.
The SOCIB modelling platform comprises:
- Ocean circulation models to forecast ocean currents
- Ecosystem modelling to provide forecasts and analysis of the ecosystems
- Wave modelling to forecast wave conditions globally and locally
- Meteo-tsunamis forecasting system to predict extreme event in the Ciutadella Harbor (Menorca, Spain)
- Satellite data with particular emphasis on the development of coastal products
Our multidisciplinary approach and the variability of scales involved (from meters to thousands of kilometers and from seconds to years) as well as their nonlinear interactions and physical and biological processes makes the understanding of theses mechanisms a real challenge.